Archive for Santa Cruz Real Estate News

Seascape real estate and homes for sale in the Rio Del Mar area showed a dramatic increase for the month of July.  This came after three straight months of sales declines in April, May, and June.

Seascape Real Estate Market Report:

The number of homes sold in this upscale beach community of Santa Cruz County on the California coast also rose, ending a disturbing performance for the month of June of only 4 units.  May 2011 saw 12 units registered as sold and was nearly matched by the July number of 11 units.

But the properties under contract – a leading indicator of real estate activity – brought even more encouraging news.

As the graph below shows, the number of homes getting offers of purchase can change dramatically from month-to-month.  As it was, the local real estate market in the first part of 2011 had a difficult time finding a direction.

Seascape Real Estate Under Contract

Seascape Real Estate Under Contract - July 2009 to July 2011

March showed some real promise as the springtime selling season was just getting underway.

But, then came steady declines for the next couple of months.

With all that was going on in the world – from debt crises around the world to on-again, off-again weather – it is not difficult to understand why.

But, after all of that, July came in like a lion!

There is other good news:

• Median Sales Price of homes sold rose to $722,900, substantially higher than the $600,000′s of the past two years.

• Fewer new properties are coming on the market

• Fewer homes are available for sale

• Fewer homes are expiring rather than selling, suggesting an active market is absorbing realistically priced homes.

But the best news of all can be seen in the graph below, the months of Inventory graph:

Seascape Real Estate Months of Inventory

Seascape Real Estate Months of Inventory from July 2009 to July 2011

This shows a steady drop in the number of homes available per market activity.

It is compiled by taking the number of homes and dividing them by the number of sales per month to come up with the number of months it would take to absorb the current inventory.  This is probably one of the best indicators of a Seller’s Market, a Buyer’s Market, or a Neutral Market.  It is generally agreed tha a figure of three months or less is a Seller’s Market.

Seascape and Rio Del Mar is currently at four months – another big improvement from only a few months ago!

In spite of the uncertain times – both in our country and around the world – and the unsettled real estate data we see every day, it seems that Rio Del Mar and Seascape real estate is happily enjoying the Summer at the beach!

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Santa Cruz Condos sold in  July fell by nearly 50% from June’s sales activity.

Having said that, it should be noted that June 2011 was a great month for sales of both condos and detached homes.

The first part of 2011 started off rather slowly, matching almost exactly the number of sales in the previous year.

Then along came June - nearly doubling the number of units sold in May and raising the monthly median price by nearly $100,000! But don’t break out the Champagne just yet.

July dashed hopes for anything approaching a real estate market rally by returning to a wintry pace of only 26 sales.

Santa Cruz Condos Sales Cool in Summer

It appears that the weather is not the only thing that is cool and damp in Santa Cruz this year!

Condo sales in July fell to half of their June number, mimicking the market activity in the first part of 2010.

Santa Cruz Condos Sold by Month from July 2009 to July 2011

Santa Cruz Condos Sold by Month from July 2009 to July 2011. Note green "trend line" showing a slight increase in seasonally adjusted sales

It is suspected that continued economic challenges, uncertainty over a budget deal, and stubbornly high unemployment have conspired to keep a lid on recent consumer activity – especially real estate.

One bright spot is the fact that there does not appear to be an increase in numbers of condos coming on the market.  In fact, the number of new units have been dropping for the past few months.  The total number of units on the market has fallen as well.

As of July 2011, there are about 5 condos for sale for every one that sells.

As we look at condos under contract, we get a glimpse of future sales activity.

Santa Cruz Condos - Pending Sales from July 2009 to July 2011

Santa Cruz Condos - Pending Sales from July 2009 to July 2011

Here we can see that the slow down in sales is nothing new.  In fact, it actually began a few months ago.

Pending Sales are a forecast of future sales activity, since these homes are expected to close escrow and be moved into the sold column at a later date.

Again, we can see the longer term blue trend line showing that activity may be increasing, but only a little at a time.

Supply and Demand – a tally of Santa Cruz condos for sale versus sold – shows a decline in the number of available units and a rather stable long-term sales pattern.  This is good news for future health of the market and may actually portend some price appreciation down the road.

Santa Cruz Condos Supply and Demand graph

Santa Cruz Condos Supply and Demand graph showing stable demand but faling numbers of units for sale

Certainly, with interest rates at record lows and prices to match, this segment of the market could easily be poised for a lot of activity.

Perhaps once our state and our nation gets its financial house in order, the home buying public will view Santa Cruz condos as a real bargain!

Santa Cruz Condos – Is there one in your future?

Take a look at these condos for sale in the City of Santa Cruz California:

Showing properties 1 - 50 of 56. See more Santa Cruz Condos and Townhomes.
(all data current as of 5/23/2012)

  1. 2 beds, 2 full, 1 part baths
    Home size: 1,212 sq ft
    Lot size: 1,306 sqft
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  2. 3 beds, 2 full, 1 part baths
    Home size: 2,314 sq ft
    Lot size: 15,681 sqft
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  3. 3 beds, 3 full, 1 part baths
    Home size: 1,920 sq ft
    Lot size: 435 sqft
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  4. 2 beds, 1 full, 1 part baths
    Home size: 948 sq ft
    Lot size: 871 sqft
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  5. 1 bed, 1 full bath
    Home size: 676 sq ft
    Lot size: 676 sqft
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  6. 5 beds, 2 full baths
    Home size: 2,000 sq ft
    Lot size: 1,306 sqft
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  7. 3 beds, 1 full bath
    Home size: 1,114 sq ft
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  8. 3 beds, 2 full, 1 part baths
    Home size: 1,600 sq ft
    Lot size: 1,306 sqft
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  9. 1 bed, 1 full bath
    Lot size: 435 sqft
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  10. 2 beds, 1 full, 1 part baths
    Home size: 984 sq ft
    Lot size: 435 sqft
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  11. 2 beds, 2 full, 1 part baths
    Home size: 1,579 sq ft
    Lot size: 871 sqft
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  12. 3 beds, 2 full baths
    Home size: 1,524 sq ft
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  13. 1 bed, 1 full bath
    Home size: 844 sq ft
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  14. 2 beds, 1 full bath
    Home size: 924 sq ft
    Lot size: 4,138 sqft
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  15. 1 bed, 1 full bath
    Home size: 653 sq ft
    Lot size: 348 sqft
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  16. 2 beds, 1 full bath
    Home size: 769 sq ft
    Lot size: 435 sqft
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  17. 2 beds, 1 full bath
    Home size: 844 sq ft
    Lot size: 435 sqft
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  18. 2 beds, 2 full, 1 part baths
    Home size: 1,920 sq ft
    Lot size: 435 sqft
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  19. 1 bed, 1 full bath
    Home size: 740 sq ft
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  20. 2 beds, 1 full bath
    Home size: 837 sq ft
    Lot size: 871 sqft
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  21. 2 beds, 2 full baths
    Home size: 1,080 sq ft
    Lot size: 1,742 sqft
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  22. 2 beds, 1 full, 1 part baths
    Home size: 1,127 sq ft
    Lot size: 871 sqft
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  23. 1 bed, 1 full, 1 part baths
    Home size: 1,127 sq ft
    Lot size: 871 sqft
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  24. 3 beds, 2 full baths
    Home size: 1,732 sq ft
    Lot size: 304 sqft
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  25. 2 beds, 1 full bath
    Home size: 896 sq ft
    Lot size: 435 sqft
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  26. 2 beds, 2 full baths
    Home size: 1,198 sq ft
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  27. 2 beds, 2 full baths
    Lot size: 1,463 sqft
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  28. 1 bed, 1 full bath
    Home size: 692 sq ft
    Lot size: 692 sqft
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  29. 2 beds, 2 full baths
    Home size: 1,103 sq ft
    Lot size: 435 sqft
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  30. 2 beds, 2 full baths
    Home size: 900 sq ft
    Lot size: 910 sqft
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  31. 3 beds, 2 full baths
    Home size: 1,473 sq ft
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  32. 4 beds, 3 full baths
    Home size: 2,102 sq ft
    Lot size: 1,565 sqft
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  33. 1 bed, 1 full bath
    Home size: 859 sq ft
    Lot size: 435 sqft
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  34. 3 beds, 1 full bath
    Home size: 1,158 sq ft
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  35. 3 beds, 3 full baths
    Home size: 1,875 sq ft
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  36. 1 bed, 1 full bath
    Home size: 600 sq ft
    Lot size: 435 sqft
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  37. 2 beds, 1 full bath
    Home size: 750 sq ft
    Lot size: 435 sqft
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  38. 2 beds, 1 full bath
    Home size: 750 sq ft
    Lot size: 435 sqft
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  39. 2 beds, 1 full bath
    Home size: 750 sq ft
    Lot size: 435 sqft
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  40. 2 beds, 1 full bath
    Home size: 750 sq ft
    Lot size: 435 sqft
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  41. 2 beds, 1 full bath
    Home size: 750 sq ft
    Lot size: 435 sqft
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  42. 2 beds, 1 full bath
    Home size: 750 sq ft
    Lot size: 435 sqft
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  43. 2 beds, 1 full bath
    Home size: 750 sq ft
    Lot size: 435 sqft
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  44. 2 beds, 1 full bath
    Home size: 750 sq ft
    Lot size: 435 sqft
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  45. 2 beds, 1 full bath
    Home size: 750 sq ft
    Lot size: 435 sqft
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  46. 2 beds, 1 full bath
    Home size: 750 sq ft
    Lot size: 435 sqft
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  47. 2 beds, 1 full bath
    Home size: 750 sq ft
    Lot size: 435 sqft
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  48. 2 beds, 1 full bath
    Home size: 750 sq ft
    Lot size: 435 sqft
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  49. 2 beds, 1 full bath
    Home size: 750 sq ft
    Lot size: 435 sqft
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  50. 2 beds, 1 full bath
    Home size: 750 sq ft
    Lot size: 435 sqft
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Listing information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Read full disclaimer.

Contact us about any of these Santa Cruz Condos for sale

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The Santa Cruz real estate market, after stumbling slightly in April, made a strong comeback in the month of May.

The California Association of Realtors (CAR) reported that the state as a whole posted its first monthly year-over-year gain in 18 months during this same period.

CAR President Beth Peerce reported that, with 70 MLS areas reporting, the increased activity was spread throughout the state.

Santa Cruz Real Estate Market shows strength

This graph, courtesy of Terradatum, shows how erratic the housing market has been for the past two years, failing to show any real direction until this year:

Santa Cruz Real Estate Market - Pending Sales 6/2011

The Santa Cruz Real Estate Market from May 2009 to May 2011 is finally showing some positive direction.

April 2011 saw a slight dip in sales, both year-over-year and from the previous month.    

This caused many to worry if the recovery of the Santa Cruz County resale housing market was about to stall in the middle of the Spring.

Indeed, with so much uncertainty in state, national, and world financial markets it was a distinct possibility. Well, if May is any indication, it appears that the month prior was more of an anomaly than an indicator.

Pending sales are usually an leading indicator of housing sales, since its tracks activity by Buyers entering the housing market with enough seriousness that they make offers acceptable to those selling their homes.

Santa Cruz Real Estate Market Inventory

The next graph, showing housing inventory and its absorbtion by the demand for housing, provides similar good news:

Santa Cruz Real Estate Market - Months Supply of Inventory May 2011

This graphic showing the Santa Cruz Real Estate Market Monthly Supply of Inventory indicates that homes are being absorbed by the Home Buying public

This graph has a lot of information - almost all of it good news for homeowners!

The jagged line indicates the average number of days a home is on the market before it sells. 

Traditionally, this number for Santa Cruz County is around 60 days, and we see the current market moving rapidly toward that.  Some of this may be due to seasonal market activity, but clearly the average market time for a home for sale in Santa Cruz County has been falling steadily since the beginning of the year.

The curved represents market trends in the amount of inventory on the market by month.  Again, this has been steadily trending downward sine the Fall of 2010.

The bars show that November 2010 had over 9 months of inventory based on market activity at that time.  May had slightly more than four – a dramatic improvement.  It is generally accepted that three months resale housing inventory or below is a “Sellers Market” – something we have not seen for quite a while!

Simply put, we have a long way to go to match the heady days of the mid-2000′s.  But this months figures for the Santa Cruz Real Estate Market shows it is off to a good start!

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It is not unusual for Santa Cruz homes for sale to far outnumber the homes sold.  It is also common to find relatively long market times for Santa Cruz real estate when compared to other more populated areas such as San Jose, San Francisco, and the East Bay Area.

However, we look for long term trends in the relationship between Santa Cruz homes that have sold and the Santa Cruz homes currently on the market to get an accurate snapshot Santa Cruz real estate activity.

In this graph, we find that homes in Santa Cruz are slowly being absorbed as we awaken from the real estate crsis.

A graph of Santa Cruz homes for sale vs. homes sold in Santa Cruz by month since February 2009

Santa Cruz Homes For Sale vs. Santa Cruz Homes Sold by Month

It is easy to see the disparity between the large number of homes for sale In Santa Cruz and the number of Santa Cruz homes that actually sell.  Closer examination also shows us that the numbers of both are slowly declining, but the number of sales in falling much less than the number of homes for sale in Santa Cruz.

If this continues, it could be a good sign for the Santa Cruz real estate market.

The next graph may offer an even more encouraging sign:

A graph showing the supply of Santa Cruz Homes on the market in months

Months Supply of Santa Cruz Homes For Sale

Here we see the number of months it would take to absorb the homes for sale in Santa Cruz based on current real estate activity.  The months supply number of 4 to 5 months indicates a balance of Santa Cruz homes for sale and homes sold.  The fact that the gray line is falling indicates the supply is slowly being reduced.

We also can see how many days it takes to market a home for sale in Santa Cruz.  While this blue line zig zags dramatically up and down, it too was making a slow descent until the fall of last year, when it began to make a significant rise to well over 100 days on the market.

Fortunately, this increase in the number of days it takes for Santa Cruz home buyers to purchase their dream home and take it off the market has reversed itself.

We will be watching these Santa Cruz real estate trends closely.  Unfortunately, it may be well into the spring real estate market before we know if Santa Cruz homes for sale will be welcomed by Santa Cruz County home buyers.

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In looking at the real estate market data of single-family homes for sale in the city of Santa Cruz, it is difficult to see if we have hit the bottom and are slowly climbing upward of just taking a breather in our long decline. 


Simulated graphic display of Real Estate information

Click on the image to see a graph of local Real Estate data corresponding to this article

When looking at the Median Home For Sale Price vs. the Median Sold Price, we can see quite clearly that there remains a large disparity between the number of homes that have sold versus the amount coming on the market.  And lately, that disparity seems to be expanding from the 2009 levels.

It is not unusual for Santa Cruz to see more real state – especially single-family homes - come on the market in the spring and summer quarters.  It should also be noted that there are fewer homes for sale and more homes sold in Santa Cruz in the recent quarter than in the last quarter of 2007, a promising sign.

But until Santa Cruz sees the median sales price trend upward and can reduce the disparity between the number of homes for sale and the number of homes sold, it will difficult to build a base from which we find any overall market appreciation.  

In looking at the Median Prices for homes sold by quarter since Q4 2007, it is easy to see that we have fallen substantially from our Q4 2007 median sales price figure of $770,000 to our current level of $614,000 in Q4 2010.  What is not so easy to determine is the significance of our slight uptick from Q1 2009 to today – a measly $21,000 increase.




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Santa Cruz Capitola Beach Houses for under $600,000??

Who doesn’t want to live near the beach!  Who doesn’t want either a cute little cottage or a stunning contemporary home overlooking the scenic Monterey Bay?

Now, be honest – who wouldn’t want to be able to call their friends and invite them down to their beachhouse!

Whether it is a second home, a vacation home, a weekend getaway, or a full time ocean residence, this could be really easy to get used to.

That’s right – an ocean view, walk to the beach single-family home.  Stroll down to the Santa Cruz Beach Boardwalk, visit Pacific Avenue shops, the Capitola Esplanade, The Santa Cruz Wharf, and some of the best restaurants in Santa Cruz County.

Most people are only able to enjoy this lifestyle with a beachfront vacation rental in Santa Cruz County.  Beach properties are typically – and understandably – very expensive to buy.  Until the recent market downturn.

Now - why rent when you can own one!

Here are Santa Cruz and Capitola vacation style bungalows – 1000 square feet or larger – all for less than $600,000!

Some are very near the beach, some are tucked away a short, sandy walk to the surf and the seagulls.

All of them provide a beach house getaway for you and your lucky friends!

Showing properties 1 - 5 of 25. See more Santa Cruz Beach Bungalows.
(all data current as of 5/23/2012)

  1. 2 beds, 1 full bath
    Home size: 1,282 sq ft
    Lot size: 5,662 sqft
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  2. 3 beds, 2 full baths
    Home size: 1,411 sq ft
    Lot size: 7,797 sqft
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  3. 3 beds, 2 full baths
    Home size: 1,146 sq ft
    Lot size: 6,534 sqft
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  4. 3 beds, 2 full baths
    Home size: 1,117 sq ft
    Lot size: 3,920 sqft
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  5. 3 beds, 1 full, 1 part baths
    Home size: 2,272 sq ft
    Lot size: 7,405 sqft
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Listing information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Read full disclaimer.

Grab your surfboard, your sunscreen, and your favorite book – these Santa Cruz Capitola Beach Houses for under $600,000 won’t wait forever!

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The data relating to real estate for sale on this website comes in part from the Internet Data Exchange program of the MLSListings™ MLS system and the Bay East Association of Realtors. All real estate listings in the MLSListings MLS system are marked with the MLSListings Internet Data Exchange icon (a stylized house inside a circle), and detailed information about them includes the names of the listing brokers and listing agents.

Listing information is deemed reliable, but not guaranteed.

Copyright 2012 MLSListings Inc. Copyright 2012 Bay East Association of Realtors. All rights reserved.

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